
{"id":228059,"date":"2020-09-25T09:16:03","date_gmt":"2020-09-25T13:16:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/?p=228059"},"modified":"2020-09-25T09:16:03","modified_gmt":"2020-09-25T13:16:03","slug":"joe-biden-and-the-latino-vote","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/world\/usa\/joe-biden-and-the-latino-vote\/","title":{"rendered":"Joe Biden and the Latino vote"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>I<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It\u2019s almost commonplace to affirm that Hispanics\/Latinos will become the largest minority voting group in the United States during this year\u2019s election. Indeed, this is a record 32 million people eligible to go to the polls, representing 13.3% of all voters. This figure includes a large number of voters in swing states like Colorado, Nevada, Arizona and Florida. In the latter, Hispanics\/Latinos make up nearly a quarter of voters.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Well-known actress and presenter <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.clickorlando.com\/news\/local\/2020\/09\/16\/former-vp-joe-biden-campaigns-for-latino-voters-in-kissimmee\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Eva Longoria<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> repeated it to those attending a Democratic rally in Kissimmee, Florida, when Biden was campaigning on the important I-94 corridor, which connects Tampa with Orlando and Daytona Beach. \u201cThis year, for the first time in history, Hispanics will be the largest minority group of potential voters in the United States, Latino voters will decide the 2020 elections, that is a fact. Not only do I want Trump to be removed from office, I want the Latino community to be the decisive group to remove him.\u201d Biden, for his part, said: \u201cMore than any other time, the Hispanic community, Latino community holds in the palm of their hand the destiny of this country. You can decide the direction of this country.\u201d\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It is, by definition, one of the sociodemographic groups on which many of the anti-immigrant constructs of the present time have fallen and still fall, endorsed on various occasions and in different settings by the figure of Donald Trump since his 2016 electoral campaign. As is known, one of the most vociferous consists in spreading the idea that Mexicans who cross the border illegally\u2014actually an old rhetorical figure that does the whole thing\u2014are, overwhelmingly, criminals, murderers and rapists. The feedback of that discourse is the actions of the executive branch such as trying to dismount\/deport the young dreamers, a result of immigration policies of the Obama administration that have been and still are the subject of many times controversial decisions of the judicial system.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Other racist constructs also hang over the Latino vote, such as those related by Michael Cohen, Trump\u2019s former personal lawyer, in his book <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/orbes.com\/sites\/tommybeer\/2020\/09\/06\/cohen-trump-said-hispanics-and-black-people-were-too-stupid-to-vote-for-him\/#199ee9a94aab\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Disloyal<\/span><\/i><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, according to which the president would have snapped at him that he wouldl never get the Hispanic vote, adding that like blacks, they are too stupid to vote for Trump and that they weren\u2019t his people. And that they have a multilateral impact on that community, beyond their immigration status.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, it would be wrong to conclude that Hispanics\/Latinos constitute a monolithic bloc. <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolitics.com\/2020\/09\/10\/joe_bidens_lethal_latino_problem_522888.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Viktor Reklatis<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> has written that people assume that being Republican and Latino is a contradiction in terms\u2026. That there have always been Latinos attracted by Republican values \u200b\u200band policies\u2026. And that he didn\u2019t think it\u2019s exciting to say, but Latino voters are in many ways like everyone else: very diverse, and their vote is based on a combination of their own interests, aspirations, political opinions, religion, and notions of belonging and identity. The expression \u201cLatino Republican,\u201d one scholar rightly says, is not, of course, an oxymoron.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>The Latino vote in Florida<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In the 2016 presidential election, Trump beat Hillary Clinton in the state of <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/elections\/2016\/results\/florida\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Florida<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> by a narrow margin (49% vs. 47.8%). Several analysts of this year\u2019s elections anticipate that it could again be crucial in the final results, depending on how the process behaves at the national level and especially in the rest of the swings states. Florida, as it is known, contributes 29 electoral votes. Traditionally, Latinos\/Hispanics have been Democratic voters, minus Cubans, especially those living in South Florida.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For Democrats, the problematic data is that Joe Biden has the weakest Latino support of all their recent presidential candidates. An <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nbcnews.com\/news\/amp\/ncna1239510\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">NBC News\/Marist<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> poll of Latino voters in Florida from eight weeks before the election found that Trump was four points ahead (50% vs. 46%). And that among all Florida voters the Democratic challenger and the Republican incumbent were tied with 48% support. In an average of RealClearPolitics polls, Biden was slightly higher at 48.7% versus Trump\u2019s 47.1%.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The presence of Biden in the aforementioned corridor, which is characterized by its high concentration of Hispanic\/Latino population, and especially Puerto Ricans, then responded to the fact that at that point his performance among Hispanics\/Latinos was quite poor compared with that of Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama and Bill Clinton, which sparked alarm among members of the Democratic leadership and officials of his campaign.<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"TOkq4vBBtM\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/elecciones\/joe-biden-celebra-a-los-hispanos\/\">Joe Biden celebra a los hispanos<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; clip: rect(1px, 1px, 1px, 1px);\" title=\"\u00abJoe Biden celebra a los hispanos\u00bb \u2014 OnCubaNews\" src=\"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/elecciones\/joe-biden-celebra-a-los-hispanos\/embed\/#?secret=Boe0S3ZcDh#?secret=TOkq4vBBtM\" data-secret=\"TOkq4vBBtM\" width=\"500\" height=\"282\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Indeed, in 2016 Hillary Clinton had won 66% of the Hispanic\/Latino vote, but that percentage represented, in itself, a drop compared to the 71% of Hispanic\/Latino voters who in 2012 supported Barack Obama\u2019s re-election. Biden was then well below the float level. In that context, billionaire and former Democratic presidential hopeful <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/mundo\/ee-uu\/exalcalde-de-nueva-york-dona-cien-millones-de-dolares-para-la-campana-democrata-en-florida\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Mike Bloomberg<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> announced he would donate 100 million dollars just to help him win Florida. \u201cWhat we\u2019re doing in Florida, and across the country, is giving Hispanic voters a reason to vote for Joe\u2014from finally addressing the Covid-19 crisis that has disproportionately impacted Hispanic families, to his commitment to protecting Dreamers\u2014and we\u2019re doing it in Spanish and in English, on TV, radio, digital and in the mail, and through culturally targeted outreach that has already grown a large and vibrant Hispanics for Biden coalition,\u201d said <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/floridapolitics.com\/archives\/364898-ulvert-biden-hispanic-outreach\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Christian Ulvert<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, a strategist for the Biden campaign.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>II<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A few weeks later, apparently Biden\u2019s trip to Tampa and the I-4 corridor, plus the strategy enunciated by Ulvert, yielded their first results, not only as a result of political actions but mainly of logistics and material base. According to news reports, to date Biden\u2019s campaign has spent more than Trump\u2019s on television advertising in Florida during this cycle\u2015between 30 million and 42 million dollars, according to political ad tracker Kantar\/CMAG. The last poll of Latino voters that I know of, by <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/news.yahoo.com\/nbc-wsj-poll-shows-biden-161203282.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">NBC News, <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Wall Street Journal<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and Telemundo<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, based on a sample of 300 voters between September 13 and 16, yielded the following results, with an estimated margin of error of 5.66 percentage points:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">62% plan to vote for the Democratic candidate, while only 26% plan to support President Trump.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Joe Biden has a significant lead over President Trump among Latino voters nationwide, although his lead is smaller than Hillary Clinton\u2019s over Trump with the voting bloc in 2016.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Trump fares best among older Latino voters, but he is also behind Biden in that category, registering the support of 35% of Latinos over 40 compared to 53% who supported Biden.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<figure id=\"attachment_228061\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-228061\" style=\"width: 760px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Biden-latinos-1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-228061\" src=\"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Biden-latinos-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"760\" height=\"469\" srcset=\"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Biden-latinos-1.jpg 760w, https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Biden-latinos-1-300x185.jpg 300w, https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Biden-latinos-1-750x463.jpg 750w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 760px) 100vw, 760px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-228061\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Biden talks to two Latina voters. Photo: NBC News.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">One variable to consider in Florida\u2019s results will undoubtedly be the behavior of the young vote. According to a Telemundo\/BuzzFeed News poll in Spanish and English between June 5 and June 22, young Latino voters support Biden. And if the election were tomorrow, 60% of Hispanics\/Latinos between the ages of 18 and 34 would vote for him. Only 19% declared they would vote for Trump. According to this poll, half the young Latinos in Florida are Democrats: only 13% identify as Republicans and 7% identify as \u201cother parties.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">These data are consistent with a <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.npr.org\/2020\/09\/21\/914989655\/poll-most-young-americans-prefer-biden-but-trump-backers-are-more-enthusiastic?utm_source=fark&amp;utm_medium=website&amp;utm_content=link&amp;ICID=ref_fark\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">national poll<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> published last Monday, September 21: 60% of potential voters under 30 said they will support Biden in November, while 27% said the same of Trump. An interesting note is the aforementioned: Obama\u2019s vice-president does better with young voters than Hillary Clinton at this point in the presidential race.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>And the Cuban Americans?<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Forecasts indicate that the Cuban-American vote, especially that of Miami Dade, one of the counties with the highest concentration of Cubans, along with Broward, Hillsborough and Palm Beach, will vote for Donald Trump. This would not only be a result of their historical alignment with the Republican Party, but also of a consistent propaganda that identifies Joe Biden as a weak individual, co-opted by the radical left and by socialism\/communism, a construct impossible to assimilate considering his moderate trajectory and the process of decantation of \u201cradicals\u201d that took place during his party\u2019s primaries.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Counties-with-Highest-Cubans-768x430-1-1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-228062\" src=\"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Counties-with-Highest-Cubans-768x430-1-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"768\" height=\"430\" srcset=\"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Counties-with-Highest-Cubans-768x430-1-1.png 768w, https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Counties-with-Highest-Cubans-768x430-1-1-300x168.png 300w, https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Counties-with-Highest-Cubans-768x430-1-1-750x420.png 750w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 768px) 100vw, 768px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A quick look at the political ads broadcast on Hispanic TV, especially one narrated by Cuban actress <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=P_pXeU3iLHE\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Susana P\u00e9rez<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, reveals Biden\u2019s identification with elements of the radical discourse associated with the demonstrations for the murder of George Floyd. One consists of socializing the idea that the Democratic candidate supports the dismantling of the police, an element that Biden himself has repeatedly denied and which is, in fact, one of the few issues on which both candidates agree.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But all that electoral propaganda is effective insofar as it resorts to emotional psychological strings rooted in the culture of the Cold War, long-standing in the United States, and to the exploitation of fear, a word at the epicenter of the Republican strategy. Its National Convention, held a few weeks ago, gave ample evidence in this regard, stating such things as that Biden and the Democrats wanted to \u201csell the country to communist China and cancel American culture\u201d; that Donald Trump was the \u201cguardian of Western culture\u201d; that it was imperative to save the United States now because \u201cwe can lose it forever\u201d; that re-electing the current president would ensure \u201cthat our children are raised to love America.\u201d And last but not least, this little gem: that the Democrats wanted to control \u201chow many hamburgers you can eat.\u201d These and similar messages, for obvious reasons, also find an echo among immigrants and voters from Venezuela and Nicaragua.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_228063\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-228063\" style=\"width: 1200px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Cubans-1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-228063\" src=\"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Cubans-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1200\" height=\"630\" srcset=\"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Cubans-1.jpg 1200w, https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Cubans-1-300x158.jpg 300w, https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Cubans-1-1024x538.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Cubans-1-768x403.jpg 768w, https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Cubans-1-750x394.jpg 750w, https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Cubans-1-1140x599.jpg 1140w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-228063\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Photo: The Washington Examiner.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Indeed, a reference to the results of a poll by <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.miamiherald.com\/news\/politics-government\/article245495835.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Bendixen &amp; Amandi International and the <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Miami Herald<\/span><\/i><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, carried out among 500 potential voters, found that support for Trump among Cuban Americans was overwhelming in Miami-Dade: 68% vs. 30%. The data has been used in some forums, especially on social networks, to denote a victory for the president in that county, despite the fact that nothing suggests that it would wear red in the upcoming elections. And much less that it would greatly alter the results in Florida, unless it is a photo finish. It is already known that in that state the political mathematics to win the elections has been a constant for decades: Republicans accumulate more votes in the north and southwest of the peninsula, Democrats dominate in the large population centers of the south, and both parties fight in the high-growth areas along the I-4 corridor. That is, in all likelihood, the same dynamic that we will see in this year\u2019s elections.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, it should be emphasized that this Cuban-American support is not universal either, since the community is far from being a monolith. \u201cAmid evidence that Trump has <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.miamiherald.com\/news\/politics-government\/article245495835.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">significantly expanded his support<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> among Miami-Dade\u2019s traditionally conservative Cuban exile community,\u201d wrote David Smiley in <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.msn.com\/en-us\/news\/politics\/were-not-gonna-be-manipulated-cracks-form-in-trumps-cuban-american-base\/ar-BB19fUjl?ocid=uxbndlbing\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0<\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Miami Herald<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">,<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> \u201ca counter-movement is afoot to show that there are thousands of Cuban-Americans in Florida who believe the president does not have their best interests at heart.\u201d Trying to somehow counter the simplistic message, former Republican strategist <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ksat.com\/news\/politics\/2020\/09\/16\/biden-courts-latino-voters-in-1st-trip-to-florida-as-nominee\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ana Navarro-C\u00e1rdenas<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> told the media: \u201cJoe needs to come to South Florida, look us in the eye and combat the ridiculous Republican narrative that he\u2019s some sort of socialist.\u201d\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Lastly, according to the Miami-Dade County poll, Biden is leading 55% vs. 38%, that is, a difference of 17 points, which places him outside the margin of error of 4.4. Most importantly, Biden is leading among Miami Dade\u2019s non-Cuban Hispanic voters 58% vs. 32%. Here, as the poet would say, there\u2019s nothing to do.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This is, in short, the dynamics of Joe Biden with the Latino vote in Florida with about 40 days to go until the presidential elections. The challenges facing the Democratic candidate are then clear.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">See you there.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I It\u2019s almost commonplace to affirm that Hispanics\/Latinos will become the largest minority voting group in the United States during this year\u2019s election. Indeed, this is a record 32 million people eligible to go to the polls, representing 13.3% of all voters. This figure includes a large number of voters in swing states like Colorado, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3462,"featured_media":228060,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[13940],"tags":[33419,14823],"ppma_author":[33935,18535],"class_list":["post-228059","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-usa","tag-joe-biden","tag-u-s-elections"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Joe Biden and the Latino vote | OnCubaNews English<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"According to the Miami-Dade County poll, Biden is leading 55% vs. 38%, that is, a difference of 17 points, which places him outside the margin of error of 4.4. Most importantly, Biden is leading among Miami Dade\u2019s non-Cuban Hispanic voters 58% vs. 32%. Here, as the poet would say, there\u2019s nothing to do.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/world\/usa\/joe-biden-and-the-latino-vote\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Joe Biden and the Latino vote | OnCubaNews English\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"According to the Miami-Dade County poll, Biden is leading 55% vs. 38%, that is, a difference of 17 points, which places him outside the margin of error of 4.4. Most importantly, Biden is leading among Miami Dade\u2019s non-Cuban Hispanic voters 58% vs. 32%. 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