
{"id":228827,"date":"2020-10-12T12:46:00","date_gmt":"2020-10-12T16:46:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/?p=228827"},"modified":"2020-10-12T12:46:00","modified_gmt":"2020-10-12T16:46:00","slug":"havana-covid-19-and-the-new-normal-ii","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/cuba\/havana-covid-19-and-the-new-normal-ii\/","title":{"rendered":"Havana, COVID-19 and the \u201cnew normal\u201d (II)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">One week after the lifting of a group of restrictions, in force until then to contain the spread of COVID-19, Havana has a different face. It\u2019s not only about increased activity in the streets, which there is, or the return of the buses to the urban landscape, or other opened shops, offices and restaurants and other businesses, but also about the people\u2019s attitude, in the way in which they begin to assume their \u201cnew normal.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cYou have to adapt, there\u2019s no other way,\u201d said to <\/span><b>OnCuba<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Luis, an electronics technician and owner of a home appliance workshop which he hopes to reopen \u201cin these days\u201d to improve his personal economy, affected by the pandemic.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cI already reopened it in July, when the coronavirus situation improved, but I preferred to close it when we went back, because the risk was high and health always comes first,\u201d he explains. \u201cNow I\u2019m letting a few days go by to see how everything is going, but I\u2019m ready to start, yes, taking extreme hygiene measures because the disease is not over and cases continue to appear in the city every day. But I have to, because if not, how do I feed my children? \u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_228860\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-228860\" style=\"width: 1024px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Taller-de-lavadoras_Otm0113-1024x683-1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-228860\" src=\"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Taller-de-lavadoras_Otm0113-1024x683-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" srcset=\"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Taller-de-lavadoras_Otm0113-1024x683-1.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Taller-de-lavadoras_Otm0113-1024x683-1-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Taller-de-lavadoras_Otm0113-1024x683-1-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Taller-de-lavadoras_Otm0113-1024x683-1-750x500.jpg 750w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-228860\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Workers in a private washing machine repair shop. Photo: Otmaro Rodr\u00edguez<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cI was dying for them to open,\u201d Marisol, a domestic worker, says, \u201cbecause these months have not been easy. I\u2019ve had to live \u2018inventing\u2019 because I lost my job practically from one day to the next, and although taking out a license has been allowed and the payment of taxes has been postponed, one has to live on something, right?\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">According to her, she has already been in contact with her regular clients, and although some asked her to wait for a while\u2015\u201cthe coronavirus thing has been hard on many people,\u201d she says\u2015others have already given her the green light to start. Her greatest hope, she confesses, is that \u201cthe pandemic will end and tourism can return,\u201d which would allow her to reconnect with a rental house where she worked regularly. \u201cBut in the meantime,\u201d she says, \u201cat least I can start doing something and making some money.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, although many have welcomed the de-escalation that began in October, there is no shortage of misgivings and concerns among Havanans. The government of the Cuban capital <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.cubadebate.cu\/noticias\/2020\/10\/06\/como-marcha-la-flexibilizacion-de-las-medidas-restrictivas-en-la-habana-video\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">recognized it<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> a few days ago on the television program Mesa Redonda. Then, the deputy governor of Havana, Yanet Hern\u00e1ndez, cited among the aspects that have generated the most controversy in the population the reopening of beaches and swimming pools, the return of public transportation to 80% of its capacity and the announcement of the restart of the school year next November 2.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_228861\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-228861\" style=\"width: 1024px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Taxista_Otm0141-1024x683-1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-228861\" src=\"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Taxista_Otm0141-1024x683-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" srcset=\"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Taxista_Otm0141-1024x683-1.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Taxista_Otm0141-1024x683-1-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Taxista_Otm0141-1024x683-1-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Taxista_Otm0141-1024x683-1-750x500.jpg 750w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-228861\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Private taxis restart their activities. Photo: Otmaro Rodr\u00edguez<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In response, Hern\u00e1ndez confirmed that the reopening that the city is experiencing \u201cconstitutes a challenge and a big one, because we know that the possibility of contagion is high,\u201d but reiterated the Cuban government\u2019s recent discourse during these times\u2015<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.cubadebate.cu\/noticias\/2020\/10\/08\/gobierno-cubano-examina-en-la-mesa-redonda-temas-de-la-actualidad-nacional-video\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">emphasized this Thursday<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> by President Miguel D\u00edaz-Canel when presenting to the country the update of the strategy to confront COVID-19 on the island\u2014, stressing that this new normal demands \u201cgreater individual, family, community, collective and institutional responsibility in complying with the hygienic sanitary actions.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>In the end, the economy<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The words of the Havana deputy governor respond to the approach currently being used by the island\u2019s authorities in the face of the pandemic, a perspective that modifies the strict methodology designed for the first de-escalation in June and July, and which has now had a polygon of proof. It is a more pragmatic strategy, based on the idea of \u200b\u200bforced coexistence with COVID-19\u2015in which the provisions established so far for the transmission and recovery stages are adapted\u2015in tune with what happened in other nations; which preserves the emphasis on prevention, surveillance and epidemiological control and medical care as strengths of the Cuban system, and which, at the same time, reinforces the responsibility of citizens.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cWe have to take care of ourselves a little more in our homes and workplaces,\u201d Governor Reinaldo Garc\u00eda Zapata <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.cubadebate.cu\/noticias\/2020\/09\/30\/gobierno-de-la-habana-evalua-situacion-epidemiologica-y-el-enfrentamiento-a-la-covid-19\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">told<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> the people of Havana on September 30, announcing the relaxation of restrictions in the capital. \u201cIt must be assumed with commitment,\u201d he said then, and assured that now \u201cthe active and responsible participation of each person, family and community plays an important role to achieve the results we hope for.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_228862\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-228862\" style=\"width: 1024px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Transporte_Otm0085-1024x683-1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-228862\" src=\"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Transporte_Otm0085-1024x683-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" srcset=\"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Transporte_Otm0085-1024x683-1.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Transporte_Otm0085-1024x683-1-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Transporte_Otm0085-1024x683-1-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Transporte_Otm0085-1024x683-1-750x500.jpg 750w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-228862\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">State transportation in Havana. Photo: Otmaro Rodr\u00edguez<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For his part, Cuban President Miguel D\u00edaz-Canel, along with a call to continue working with \u201cgreat rigor\u201d in the health system and other state institutions and centers, has also repeatedly appealed in recent days to \u201cindividual, family, collective, community and social responsibility.\u201d This, <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.cubadebate.cu\/noticias\/2020\/10\/03\/diaz-canel-compartiendo-responsabilidades-podemos-seguir-avanzando-hacia-una-situacion-mas-favorable\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">he said<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, has to \u201cbe constant,\u201d because \u201cby sharing responsibilities we can continue to advance towards a more favorable situation in Havana.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">According to the president and other government figures, the reopening in the capital\u2015as part of the new national plan for the pandemic\u2015is due to the results of the health strategy and the restrictions applied, and to the experiences accumulated during seven months in the confrontation with COVID-19, which have not only made it possible to achieve an improvement in the indicators but also a lesson for the effective management of the disease. And they are right.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">If the statistics and epidemiological scenario of Cuba are compared with that of most of the world, the good management of the epidemic in the country is obvious, even when the transmission of the coronavirus has not been eradicated and several provinces have experienced a regrowth in the summer months. The success of surveillance and containment measures and medical protocols, the work of health and scientific personnel, and the government\u2019s organization and monitoring of actions against COVID-19, have prevented an explosion in the number of infections and collapse of hospitals and intensive care units, and have kept mortality rates low on the island.<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"10HNdu0yve\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/cuba\/science-cuba\/why-has-cuban-biotechnology-been-successful-against-covid-19-ii\/\">Why has Cuban biotechnology been successful against COVID-19? (II)<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; clip: rect(1px, 1px, 1px, 1px);\" title=\"&#8220;Why has Cuban biotechnology been successful against COVID-19? (II)&#8221; &#8212; OnCubaNews English\" src=\"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/cuba\/science-cuba\/why-has-cuban-biotechnology-been-successful-against-covid-19-ii\/embed\/#?secret=1xuQ5obMoQ#?secret=10HNdu0yve\" data-secret=\"10HNdu0yve\" width=\"500\" height=\"282\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, as we already pointed out in the first part of this work, this change in approach and strategy undoubtedly has an economic background. A background that the Cuban authorities themselves have not hidden and that gains greater prominence in a context of economic crisis fueled by the impact\u2015national and global\u2015of the pandemic, the increase in U.S. sanctions and embargo, and structural problems and chronic inefficiencies of the domestic economy, which led President D\u00edaz-Canel to recognize this Thursday that it is necessary to \u201cgive a greater push\u201d to the implementation of the economic strategy recently approved by the government to alleviate the crisis.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Days ago, in one of the government meetings to assess the situation of the epidemic on the island, the president <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.granma.cu\/cuba-covid-19\/2020-10-02\/diaz-canel-el-reto-es-seguir-trabajando-con-responsabilidad-y-calidad-02-10-2020-00-10-21\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">affirmed<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> that \u201cright now, we can\u2019t continue with the same level of confinement, since it\u2019s necessary to reactivate life\u201d and pointed out that \u201cpeople also need to reorder their economic and working life, just as we require that various institutions reactivate so that there is a higher level of services and goods to offer the population and thus our economy begins to perform differently.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_228863\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-228863\" style=\"width: 1024px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Trabajadorest_Otm6-1-1024x683-1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-228863\" src=\"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Trabajadorest_Otm6-1-1024x683-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" srcset=\"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Trabajadorest_Otm6-1-1024x683-1.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Trabajadorest_Otm6-1-1024x683-1-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Trabajadorest_Otm6-1-1024x683-1-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Trabajadorest_Otm6-1-1024x683-1-750x500.jpg 750w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-228863\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Work begins in different sectors of the economy. Photo: Otmaro Rodr\u00edguez<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The numbers speak for themselves. As reported by the Havana deputy governor, only in the capital until the announcement of the new de-escalation did the expenses associated with COVID-19 exceed 125 million pesos, broken down into items such as food, transportation, medications and personnel expenses, among others. In addition, the income not reported to the State Budget amounted to a not inconsiderable 621 million pesos, 13% of what was planned; while the expenses for social assistance and salary treatment for people who left their jobs during confinement, and the costs for hospitalized patients, admissions to isolation centers and diagnostic kits, deepened the black hole of the state coffers.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">To give you an idea, as exemplified by Hern\u00e1ndez, only in August the cost of hospitalized patients in Havana was around 3 million pesos, while that of those admitted to centers for suspects exceeded 930,000. It\u2019s not surprising then that the new plan against COVID-19 in Cuba, presented this Thursday, contemplates for the \u201cnew normal\u201d the home isolation of contacts of confirmed and suspected cases\u2014except for vulnerable people and other exceptions\u2014, and not in hospitals or isolation centers, a characteristic that had distinguished the Cuban strategy until now. The same will happen with nationals arriving from abroad, who will no longer have to undergo a quarantine in a state institution, but will be monitored in their homes by primary health care, while tourists will go to their hotels to wait for the result of their respective PCR tests.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_228864\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-228864\" style=\"width: 1024px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/covid-oct_05-04-1024x704-1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-228864\" src=\"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/covid-oct_05-04-1024x704-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"704\" srcset=\"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/covid-oct_05-04-1024x704-1.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/covid-oct_05-04-1024x704-1-300x206.jpg 300w, https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/covid-oct_05-04-1024x704-1-768x528.jpg 768w, https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/covid-oct_05-04-1024x704-1-750x516.jpg 750w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-228864\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: Government of Havana\/Cubadebate<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><b>*Caption:\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">COVID-19<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">ECONOMIC IMPACT IN HAVANA<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Expenditures associated with the pandemic: 125 million pesos<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In food: 7 million<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Medicines: 10 million<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Linen items and garments, toiletries and cleaning: 3 million<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Personnel expenses: 65 million<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Transportation: 13 million<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Social assistance: 2 million<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Cost per hospitalized patient: 785.75 pesos<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Cost per patient in centers for suspicious cases: 343 pesos<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Cost per diagnostic kit: 67.39 pesos<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Income not reported for the state budget<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">621 million pesos<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><b>Of phases, changes and figures<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">If we discount the new cases reported this Friday\u2015corresponding to the close of the previous day\u2015, until the first week of October, Havana added 3,321 patients detected with COVID-19, 56.1% of the total in Cuba. Since the arrival of the coronavirus to the island, the capital has been the epicenter of the epidemic, even though it has fluctuated between peaks and plateaus, between declines and outbreaks, and, consequently, it has gone through different periods until reaching the de-escalation in progress these days.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A look at various epidemiological indicators of the city in recent months, in particular the moments prior to the changes in phases and strategies for coping with the disease, allows us to verify not only its evolution in the Havana geography, but also the interpretation of its development by the population and the government, the approach taken by the authorities to apply measures or lift restrictions, based on the experience acquired and without neglecting the aforementioned economic component.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In this way, it is not difficult to discover that if for the capital\u2019s transition to phase 1 of the recovery at the beginning of July, according to the previously applied methodology, it was waited until the figures fell considerably\u2015and yet, a part of the population thought it was precipitous\u2015, for the current reopening the indicators were interpreted in a more pragmatic way and, even so, their reception by Havanans, exhausted after seven months of the pandemic and, in particular, after a month of harsh restrictions, seems to have been less alarmist.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A simple count shows that if in the 15 days prior to the reopening that began on July 3, the new cases were only 57 and the rate per 100,000 inhabitants was 2.7, in the 15 days before the \u201cflexibilization\u201d of restrictions on October 1, these same indicators amounted to 358 and 16.8, even higher than those of the period prior to the decline decreed on August 7, and close, although lower, than when it was decided to impose the curfew and other restrictive measures as of September 1. However, this minor improvement, together with other important aspects, such as the number of deaths, outbreaks and active transmission events, was sufficient to lift bans and begin de-escalation, even with the city in the transmission phase.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/COVID-Oct_06-02-1024x704-1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-228865\" src=\"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/COVID-Oct_06-02-1024x704-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"704\" srcset=\"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/COVID-Oct_06-02-1024x704-1.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/COVID-Oct_06-02-1024x704-1-300x206.jpg 300w, https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/COVID-Oct_06-02-1024x704-1-768x528.jpg 768w, https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/COVID-Oct_06-02-1024x704-1-750x516.jpg 750w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em><b>*Caption:\u00a0<\/b><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Havana:<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">COMPARISON OF INDICATORS FOR COVID-19<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">INDICATORS<\/span> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">JULY 2<\/span> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">AUGUST 6<\/span> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">AUGUST 31<\/span> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">SEPTEMBER 30<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Total of cases<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">% with respect to Cuba\u2019s total<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rate per 100,000 inhabitants**<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Total of cases in last 15 days<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">% with respect to Cuba\u2019s total in last 15 days<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rate per 100,000 inhabitants in last 15 days**<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Deaths in last 15 days<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Active transmission events<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">* Data taken from COVID-19 Cuba Data site and the reports by the Cuban Ministry of Public Health<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">** Calculated based on a population of 2,132,394 inhabitants, the official figure registered in the Demographic Yearbook of Cuba (2019)<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A comparison of the temporary sequences of these four moments prior to the changes of phases and measures decreed in Havana (from June 18 to July 2, before the transition of the city to phase 1 of the recovery; from July 23 to August 6, before the return to the limited autochthonous transmission phase; from August 17 to 31, before the application of more severe restrictions; and from September 16 to 30, before the dismantling of those restrictions), also makes it possible to check the similarities and differences between them, the peaks and drops in the number of daily cases that numerically verify the worsening or improvement of the epidemiological scenario.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We have included in a chart another five days in these time sequences, after the date of the change, so that the early evolution of that scenario can be seen once the new phases and measures take effect. In addition, we also propose a graph focused only on the last two sequences (end of August and end of September), in which the divergences and similarities of both seemingly opposing periods can be verified\u2015one that led to stricter restrictions and the other, to a lifting of these and other measures\u2014, and also the weight that Havana had in both moments within the total number of new infections detected on the island.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_228866\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-228866\" style=\"width: 1024px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/COVID-Oct_06-01-1024x704-1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-228866\" src=\"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/COVID-Oct_06-01-1024x704-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"704\" srcset=\"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/COVID-Oct_06-01-1024x704-1.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/COVID-Oct_06-01-1024x704-1-300x206.jpg 300w, https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/COVID-Oct_06-01-1024x704-1-768x528.jpg 768w, https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/COVID-Oct_06-01-1024x704-1-750x516.jpg 750w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-228866\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: Cuban Ministry of Public Health<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><em><b>*Caption:\u00a0<\/b><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">COVID-19 in Havana:\u00a0<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">EVOLUTION OF DAILY CASES<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Daily cases<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">From June 18 to July 7<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">From July 23 to Aug 11<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">From August 17 to Sept 5<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">From September 16 to Oct 5<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Sequence of days<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Finally, as a week has already passed since the beginning of the reopening in the capital, we propose a look at what happened in the city in this short period in which, judging by official figures, the situation has remained favorable. Thus, between October 1 and 7, the city of Havana registered 66 detected contagions (26% with respect to new cases in Cuba), a daily average of 9.4, and a rate of 3.1 cases per 100,000 inhabitants. In addition, at the close of this Thursday, 40 outbreaks and four transmission events were active, one of them opened in the last week. However, even when the statistics reveal a positive scenario, the 20 new cases reported this Friday make the alarms go off again and give the reason to the Havana authorities and their call to \u201cnot lower our guard\u201d in the face of the constant danger posed by COVID -19.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_228867\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-228867\" style=\"width: 1024px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/COVID-Oct_06-03-1-1024x703-1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-228867\" src=\"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/COVID-Oct_06-03-1-1024x703-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"703\" srcset=\"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/COVID-Oct_06-03-1-1024x703-1.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/COVID-Oct_06-03-1-1024x703-1-300x206.jpg 300w, https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/COVID-Oct_06-03-1-1024x703-1-768x527.jpg 768w, https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/COVID-Oct_06-03-1-1024x703-1-750x515.jpg 750w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-228867\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: Cuban Ministry of Public Health<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><em><b>*Caption:<\/b><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">COVID-19<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">EVOLUTION OF NEW CASES IN CUBA AND HAVANA<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">CASES<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">From August 17 to 31<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Cuba \u00a0 \u00a0 Havana<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">From September 16 to 30<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Cuba <\/span> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Havana<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Sequence of days<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_228878\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-228878\" style=\"width: 1536px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/COVID-Oct_06-04-1536x1056-1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-228878\" src=\"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/COVID-Oct_06-04-1536x1056-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1536\" height=\"1056\" srcset=\"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/COVID-Oct_06-04-1536x1056-1.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/COVID-Oct_06-04-1536x1056-1-300x206.jpg 300w, https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/COVID-Oct_06-04-1536x1056-1-1024x704.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/COVID-Oct_06-04-1536x1056-1-768x528.jpg 768w, https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/COVID-Oct_06-04-1536x1056-1-750x516.jpg 750w, https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/COVID-Oct_06-04-1536x1056-1-1140x784.jpg 1140w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1536px) 100vw, 1536px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-228878\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: Cuban Ministry of Public Health\/Tribuna de La Habana<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><em><strong>*Caption:<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>COVID-19 in Havana<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>First week of October<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Week\u2019s new cases<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Average of daily cases<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Rate per 100,000 inhabitants: 3.1<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Active transmission events<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>New open transmission events<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Active outbreaks<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>(% with respect to Cuba\u2019s new cases)<\/em><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Starting next Monday, according to what was announced this Thursday by Prime Minister Manuel Marrero on Cuban television, Havana will cease to be in the limited autochthonous transmission phase and will enter phase 3 of the recovery stage. An Olympic jump based on the indicators it currently shows, which, according to what Marrero explained, have been specially modeled for the capital taking into account its complexities and differences with respect to the rest of the island.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This means that, in accordance with the new Cuban strategy against the pandemic, the city will not yet officially be in the \u201cnew normal,\u201d a category for those territories with a better epidemiological situation and which almost the entire island will enter next week, except for Havana and the central provinces of Ciego de \u00c1vila and Sancti Sp\u00edritus, which are currently the most affected by the coronavirus. However, the passage to this phase could take place at any moment if circumstances improve, or, on the contrary, a new setback could be experienced, if measures are neglected and contagions increase again in the city of Havana. A possibility that cannot be lost sight of and that demands everyone\u2019s commitment\u2014of the government and citizens, state entities and private businesses\u2014, even though for the people of Havana the idea of what is \u200b\u200b \u201cnormal\u201d will never be the same.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>One week after the lifting of a group of restrictions, in force until then to contain the spread of COVID-19, Havana has a different face. It\u2019s not only about increased activity in the streets, which there is, or the return of the buses to the urban landscape, or other opened shops, offices and restaurants and [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3261,"featured_media":228859,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[13902],"tags":[29532],"ppma_author":[33550,14826],"class_list":["post-228827","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cuba","tag-coronavirus-in-cuba"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Havana, COVID-19 and the \u201cnew normal\u201d (II) | OnCubaNews English<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"It\u2019s a more pragmatic strategy, based on the idea of \u200b\u200bforced coexistence with COVID-19.\" \/>\n<meta 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