{"id":247866,"date":"2022-01-09T06:00:13","date_gmt":"2022-01-09T11:00:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/?p=247866"},"modified":"2022-01-08T11:01:38","modified_gmt":"2022-01-08T16:01:38","slug":"five-cuban-subjects-to-follow-in-2022","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/cuba\/five-cuban-subjects-to-follow-in-2022\/","title":{"rendered":"Five Cuban subjects to follow in 2022"},"content":{"rendered":"

2022 is already experiencing its first days after an extremely difficult 2021 throughout the world and, in particular, <\/span>in Cuba<\/span><\/a>. The new year takes its first steps on the island amid a halo of uncertainty, after 12 months marked by COVID-19, the economic crisis, the increase in <\/span>illegal migration<\/span><\/a> and a growing social unrest that led to the largest anti-government protests in decades, among other issues.<\/span><\/p>\n

All of the above will surely condition the Cuban scenario in the period that is beginning. Even with the good wishes of the majority, the government\u2019s optimistic forecasts and even the most favorable interpretations of the <\/span>Letter of the Year<\/span><\/a>, 2022 carries a heavy burden of difficulties, shortages and restrictions fueled by the recent impact of the pandemic, the <\/span>U.S. embargo <\/span><\/a>and some economic reforms that do not achieve \u2014 at least not yet \u2014 the takeoff expected by the authorities and the population in general.<\/span><\/p>\n

Therefore, even with good news such as the significant advance in COVID-19 vaccination, the incipient awakening of tourism and the approval of more than a thousand <\/span>MSMEs<\/span><\/a> in the last months of 2021, it seems sensible not to have false expectations and avoid triumphalist speeches that are usually as harmful as the most catastrophic and negative. The current Cuban context invites restraint and discernment, the most objective analysis possible to examine its complexities and perspectives for the year that has just begun and, also, a little more.<\/span><\/p>\n

For the moment, and even when the future is always fickle and unpredictable, it does not seem necessary to scrutinize the future in a crystal ball to forecast some issues that should be the protagonists of Cuban events in 2022. We are not talking about fortuitous events or sudden events \u2015 which could also occur \u2015 but rather aspects already anchored in the reality of the island, whose scope and ramifications must mark the year, for better or for worse, as unavoidable elements in today\u2019s Cuba. These are, in the opinion of <\/span>OnCuba<\/b>, five subjects on the island that will be talked about in the coming months.<\/span><\/p>\n

    \n
  1. Epidemiological situation due to the pandemic<\/b><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    After two years marking the nation\u2019s life \u2015 both with its dire consequences of disease, death and restrictions, as well as with the sacrificing work of those who have faced it and the massive immunization campaign \u2015, the <\/span>coronavirus<\/span><\/a> pandemic will continue to leave its mark in Cuba in 2022. How much and how? Well, this will depend on how the country \u2015 with its authorities, scientists, health professionals and the population in general \u2015 is capable of handling the epidemiological scenario, and not only the domestic one but also the international one, which also affects the situation on the island.<\/span><\/p>\n

    For now, after a sustained and notable improvement in the final months of 2021, the new year has begun with an upsurge in infections, which has led to once again exceeding 1,000 daily cases and 3,000 active cases, and <\/span>taking measures<\/span><\/a> to try to stop this dangerous increase, reminiscent of the re-outbreak that started 12 months ago. The advantage now is that more than 85% of Cubans have received the complete vaccination scheme and more than 2 million booster doses have already been administered, although the detection of the highly contagious <\/span>Omicron variant in almost all provinces <\/span><\/a>makes it necessary to not lower the guard to avoid another pandemic peak like the one suffered the previous year.<\/span><\/p>\n

      \n
    1. The economy<\/b><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

      It is a fundamental issue, both for the dwindling state coffers and for the pockets and tables of Cubans, who have been hit hard by a crisis deepened by the pandemic, U.S. sanctions, and internal difficulties and inefficiencies. The lack of basic products, the excessive increase in prices and <\/span>inflation<\/span><\/a>, and obstacles and distortions in government reforms, are some of the problems inherited from the previous year, when the GDP was below expectations and the <\/span>monetary reorganization<\/span><\/a> did not yield the expected results.<\/span><\/p>\n

      Faced with this complex panorama, also seasoned by the scarcity of foreign exchange and a high international debt, the control of COVID-19 on the island is key to achieving the longed-for economic reactivation, as well as boosting food production, <\/span>tourism<\/span><\/a>, the biopharmaceutical industry and other priority sectors for the country. Also key is further enhancing the autonomy and efficiency of the state enterprise and the role of the private and cooperative sector, and correcting the errors and obstacles that persist in the government\u2019s economic policies. Of course, saying it is easy; the difficult thing is to put it into practice successfully, and 2022, the year in which <\/span>the authorities foresee<\/span><\/a> a growth of 4%, will be a peremptory testing ground in this direction.<\/span><\/p>\n

        \n
      1. Recognition by WHO of Cuban vaccines<\/b><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

        2022 could bring the long-awaited recognition by the World Health Organization (WHO) of the <\/span>Cuban COVID-19 vaccines<\/span><\/a>, the first created and produced in Latin America and which have been the support of the wide and successful immunization campaign carried out on the island. Although the contacts between both parties <\/span>began months ago<\/span><\/a>, the process is still in its initial stage and, <\/span>as reported<\/span><\/a> days ago by the EFE news agency, the WHO is currently \u201cwaiting for the sending of information on the strategy and schedule\u201d documentation by Cuba.<\/span><\/p>\n

        The Cuban authorities, for their part, have reiterated their interest for the drugs to get the support of the international organization, with which they assure they maintain a \u201cfluid exchange,\u201d and have said that, after the <\/span>opening of a modern production plant<\/span><\/a> in the Mariel Special Development Zone, they are \u201cadapting\u201d the necessary documents and that the progress of this process depends on the island itself. Meanwhile, Cuban immunogens have already received approval in several countries, amid controversy, praise and criticism \u2015 in many cases motivated by political approaches \u2015 but the <\/span>WHO<\/span><\/a>\u2019s endorsement would undoubtedly support their greater recognition and commercialization.<\/span><\/p>\n

        Cuba asegura que no busca \u201ccompetir\u201d con sus vacunas y confirma inter\u00e9s en aval de la OMS<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n