
{"id":267734,"date":"2023-04-06T17:13:57","date_gmt":"2023-04-06T21:13:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/?p=267734"},"modified":"2023-04-06T17:13:57","modified_gmt":"2023-04-06T21:13:57","slug":"what-the-russia-ukraine-war-hides","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/world\/what-the-russia-ukraine-war-hides\/","title":{"rendered":"What the Russia-Ukraine War hides"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The <a href=\"https:\/\/oncubanews.com\/en\/tag\/war-in-ukraine\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Russia-Ukraine War<\/a> bears witness to hard fractures in the global hegemonic system. The material backing of currencies that is supported by natural resources, mainly oil and its derivatives, has notably reduced its fluidity between the conflicting blocs.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The first sign was the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/es.euronews.com\/2022\/07\/12\/el-euro-llega-a-la-paridad-con-el-dolar-por-primera-vez-en-veinte-anos\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">parity of the dollar with the euro in July 2022<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, the second, the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.primicias.ec\/noticias\/economia\/dolar-fortalecimiento-euro-latinoamerica\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">loss of this position of the euro against the dollar<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, in October of that same year.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In March 2023, the fall of several U.S. banks also expressed itself as a financial weakness in Europe. While the dollar appears to be holding steady and the United States bails out failed banks quickly, Europe has run into several dead ends: the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/mundo\/noticias-internacional-65021319\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">bankruptcy of the Credit Suisse Bank<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com.ec\/money\/se-desploman-acciones-deutsche-bank-aumenta-temor-colapso-bancario-global-n31171\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">decline in the shares of the Deutsche Bank<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and of the stock market. But how did this complex situation come to be?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">After a year of war between Russia and Ukraine, before the advances and setbacks of military positions, a great deal of the planet has felt the geopolitical movements firsthand. The increase in prices and scarcity of food and fertilizers has been global, and one of the causes of inflation.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Unexpected results of sanctions on Russia<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Although Russia\u2019s territorial objective is to consolidate itself in Donbas, for which it has politically planned popular consultations; as for the movement of capital, its master moves to overcome the economic blockade and the hundreds of restrictions have been more important.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Russian government revealed how the dollar is tied to the price of oil and its derivatives (petrodollars), and how, given the confiscation of Russian accounts, for more than <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.dw.com\/es\/la-ue-propone-usar-dinero-ruso-confiscado-para-la-reconstrucci%C3%B3n-de-ucrania\/a-63993002\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">20 billion dollars<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, it was forced <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.aa.com.tr\/es\/mundo\/rusia-y-china-acuerdan-usar-sus-divisas-nacionales-en-los-pagos-de-gas-natural-\/2678392\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">to market hydrocarbons with Europe and other countries in rubles or yuan<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">s<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The European Union and the United States opposed the measure and announced the Russian catastrophe. A week after the decision, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newtral.es\/recuperacion-rublo-dolar-sanciones\/20220513\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">the ruble was recovering ground against the dollar<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">; <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com.ec\/macroeconomia\/rusia-rompe-dolar-adopta-yuan-su-comercio-latinoamerica-asia-china-n31198\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">however, in 2023 Russia announced trade with yuans in the international market<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, which is also the reserve currency of the International Monetary Fund (IMF). China supported this decision, and <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.dw.com\/es\/rusia-reorienta-sus-exportaciones-petrol%C3%ADferas-hacia-asia\/a-65147892\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">India improved its trade relations with Russia<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The BRICS countries began to trade natural resources in their own currencies, in addition to <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.dw.com\/es\/los-pa%C3%ADses-brics-se-redefinen-por-oposici%C3%B3n-al-g7\/a-65124981\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">not supporting sanctions against Russia<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. While <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.swissinfo.ch\/spa\/brasil-inversiones_la-inversi%C3%B3n-extranjera-directa-en-brasil-salt%C3%B3-un-59-4---hasta-noviembre\/48152084#:~:text=%2D%20Brasil%20recibi%C3%B3%2082.291%20millones%20de,este%20mi%C3%A9rcoles%20el%20Banco%20Central.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Brazil<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0(59%) and <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.eleconomista.com.mx\/empresas\/Inversion-extranjera-en-Mexico-se-concentra-en-las-manufacturas-20230225-0014.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Mexico<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0(30%) see how their countries\u2019 Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) grows, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/tradingeconomics.com\/united-states\/foreign-direct-investment\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">the United States<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">,\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/tradingeconomics.com\/germany\/foreign-direct-investment\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Germany<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/tradingeconomics.com\/france\/foreign-direct-investment\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">France<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> see it decrease. <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/elpais.com\/argentina\/2023-01-23\/brasil-y-argentina-pretenden-avanzar-hacia-una-moneda-comun-sudamericana-en-la-visita-de-lula-a-buenos-aires.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The announcement by Lula and Fern\u00e1ndez to create a common currency<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> has this scenario of events as its center.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>The U.S. depends on the war<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In the midst of the pandemic crisis (2020-2021), in the fracture of the economic system due to the great global confinement, China demonstrated that it was not greatly affected, becoming the only country, of the powers, that <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/elpais.com\/economia\/2021-04-16\/la-economia-china-consolida-su-recuperacion-de-la-crisis-con-un-crecimiento-interanual-del-183.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">did not have an economic contraction<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. Thus China repositioned itself; things had gone well for it and the Russian-Ukrainian War opened a new fracture.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The conflict in Ukraine was divided into two sides: the United States, the European Union and NATO \u2015 the G7 \u2015, as well as the rest of the Western countries in this framework; and on the other side, Russia, and commercially China, India, and various Asian, Arab and African countries.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Ukrainian government has received support, above all from the United States, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rfi.fr\/es\/am%C3%A9ricas\/20230225-la-ayuda-militar-de-estados-unidos-a-ucrania-es-el-doble-de-la-de-la-ue\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">75 billion dollars<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, to stay in the war. Without that monetary and military support, it would be impossible for it to withstand the aggression. Zelensky has said that the war depends on the United States; not only weapons and machinery, but also soldiers; the Ukrainian president has personally sounded it out, and he knows that <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/mundo\/noticias-internacional-64060247#:~:text=Zelensky%2C%20en%20el%20Congreso%20de,%2C%20lo%20s%C3%A9%22%2C%20exclam%C3%B3.&amp;text=Zelensky%20denunci%C3%B3%20los%20ataques%20militares,especialmente%20a%20las%20centrales%20el%C3%A9ctricas.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">U.S. bipartisanship supports the war<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ukraine was no longer in control of Donbas before the war, and now it is <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.telesurtv.net\/news\/rusia-ucrania-conflicto-soledar-donbas-20230111-0017.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">difficult for it to regain its position<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. Ukraine has polarized between Zelensky and pro-Russian forces. Zelensky in an interview with CNN said: <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/cnnespanol.cnn.com\/2023\/03\/07\/exclusivo-cnn-zelensky-rusia-captura-bakhmut-trax\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cWe do not trust Putin\u201d and \u201cthere can be no diplomatic solution.\u201d The legal market for weapons of the powers has grown exponentially,<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> at the same rate as the illegal markets that supply other wars (Syria, Afghanistan, Iraq) and drug conflicts.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>And China continues to grow<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The effects of the pandemic, the Russia-Ukraine War, and the crisis have affected the territorial composition of capital. In Asia, the presence of Russian and Chinese capital has increased, as in Africa. <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.eslocotidiano.com\/opinion\/alejandro-gomez-tamez\/economia-termina-reinado-g7-comienza-brics-alejandro-gomez-tamez\/20230327081536075914.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The GDP of the BRICS is already higher than that of the G7<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. China has managed to expand its presence in Latin America. The silk road is also a security route: for the first time, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/cnnespanol.cnn.com\/2023\/01\/17\/advertencia-experto-armada-eeuu-china-flota-mas-grande-casi-siempre-gana-trax\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">China (340) has more warships than the United States (300)<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In Latin America, the strengthening of Mexico and Brazil is notable. Progressivism resurfaced in the region, the presidency of Andr\u00e9s Manuel L\u00f3pez Obrador was strengthened, and Lula changed the perspectives of Brazil. However, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cepal.org\/es\/publicaciones\/47912-repercusiones-america-latina-caribe-la-guerra-ucrania-como-enfrentar-esta-nueva\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">the economic slowdown, the increase in inflation and poverty in Latin America is palpable<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The decrease in direct trade between Latin America and Russia to numbers close to 0 strengthens Russia\u2019s relationship with China, for indirect economic relations. If Europe\u2019s economy has been the hardest hit in more than a year of war (except for the arms trade), Ukraine has received the worst part: 16 million displaced persons and refugees; thousands of deaths in the war; <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.eleconomista.com.mx\/economia\/PIB-de-Ucrania-cayo-30.4en-el-2022-20230105-0112.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">a decrease in GDP by -30.4% in 2022<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">; the brutal drop in investments to <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/tradingeconomics.com\/ukraine\/foreign-direct-investment\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">less than a tenth<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">; <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/tradingeconomics.com\/ukraine\/government-debt-to-gdp\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">the increase in the foreign debt<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">; the growth of <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/tradingeconomics.com\/ukraine\/inflation-cpi\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">inflation<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0 (25%) and poverty; the closure of schools, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/prodavinci.com\/a-un-ano-de-la-guerra-rusia-ucrania-a\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">40% of homes damaged and 50% of the energy infrastructure<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Contradicting Zelensky, Putin, and Biden, the only way to solve this war is through diplomatic and political means. It seems that at the end of the war, a new Bretton Woods agreement will be needed.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>After a year of war between Russia and Ukraine, before the advances and setbacks of military positions, a great deal of the planet has felt the geopolitical movements firsthand.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12345837,"featured_media":267736,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[14135,13889],"tags":[10720,34517],"ppma_author":[34644],"class_list":["post-267734","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-opinion","category-world","tag-russian-federation","tag-war-in-ukraine"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>What the Russia-Ukraine War hides | OnCubaNews 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