COVID-19 will continue having a high incidence in Cuba, in the short term above 8,000 patients a day, the dean of the Faculty of Mathematics and Computing of the University of Havana, Raúl Guinovart, said this Tuesday.
“This model reiterates that we are in a peak zone of confirmed cases and in the coming weeks the number of confirmed and deceased will continue to be very high,” said the expert during a meeting with the highest authorities of the Cuban government, Cubadebate reported.
Coronavirus en Cuba: 96 fallecidos y 8637 contagios el martes
Guinovart explained that it is estimated that the daily confirmed cases could be maintained at over 7,500 cases at the end of August, due to the incidence that the epidemic is manifesting in some provinces.
The last daily reports of the Cuban Ministry of Public Health (MINSAP) register an acceleration of infections in Pinar del Río, Cienfuegos, Sancti Spíritus, Holguín, Camagüey, Mayabeque, Villa Clara and Las Tunas.
Meanwhile, provinces such as Ciego de Ávila, Granma, Santiago de Cuba and Guantánamo report data that still indicate a lack of control of the pandemic, unlike Matanzas and Havana, according to the specialist’s criteria.
However, forecasting models on the behavior of COVID-19 show a possible decrease in daily infections and active cases at the end of September, while vaccination against the contagious disease advances.
“The prognoses may change if, together with the increase in vaccination, each Cuban follows the measures of social isolation and physical distancing, and the rest of the established hygienic-sanitary actions,” said Guinovart at the meeting chaired by Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel.
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Cuba is going through the worst wave of coronavirus infections, which have not stopped increasing since November 2020, reaching peaks above 9,000 cases a day in July and August, a situation that has caused hospital collapses in several provinces of the island.
Last year, the government applied strict movement restriction measures by which they managed to keep the coronavirus epidemic under control. Those restrictions have been partial in 2021 and, apparently, the Cuban authorities are betting that vaccination will limit the impact of COVID-19.
